Category: New Publications Page 2 of 4

Our new paper, “Assessment of convection-permitting hydroclimate modeling in urban areas across the contiguous United States“, is published in Urban Climate (IF: 6.0). This work was led by undergraduate student Liam Thompson. Congratulations, Liam!

The paper can be downloaded at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212095525000914.

Authors: Liam Thompson, Chenghao Wang, Cenlin He, Tzu-Shun Lin, Changhai Liu, and Jimy Dudhia

Abstract: Accurate representation of urban areas in weather and climate models is crucial for simulating interactions between urban surfaces and the atmospheric boundary layer, especially in high-resolution regional models that resolve deep convection. However, many continental-scale simulations use simplified urban parameterizations, raising questions about their ability to reproduce urban hydroclimate. This study evaluates CONUS404—a recent USGS-NCAR 4-km convection-permitting hydroclimate modeling dataset—in urban areas across the contiguous United States (CONUS). We assessed hourly near-surface air temperature, dewpoint, and wind speed simulations at 208 urban and 342 non-urban station locations from 2011 to 2020 using observations. Results show that CONUS404 performs better for air temperature in urban areas, with a slight mean warm bias (0.08 °C) at urban stations and a mean cold bias (−0.52 °C) at non-urban stations. Dewpoint simulations exhibit stronger dry biases at urban stations, suggesting underrepresented evapotranspiration from urban vegetation. Wind speed is generally underestimated, with average biases of −0.74 m s⁻¹ at urban and −0.35 m s⁻¹ at non-urban stations. Seasonal analyses reveal larger model errors for wintertime temperature and dewpoint that strongly depend on urban fraction. These findings highlight the limitations of the bulk urban parameterization in CONUS404, underscoring the need for enhanced urban representations to improve continental-scale hydroclimate simulations.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2025.102375

Our new paper, “Impact of urban trees on carbon dioxide exchange: Mechanistic pathways, environmental controls, and feedback“, is published in Journal of Environmental Management (IF: 8.0).

The paper can be downloaded at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301479725000040.

Authors: Zhi-Hua Wang, Peiyuan Li, Chenghao Wang, & Xueli Yang

Abstract: The increase of carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration in the atmosphere is held responsible for global climate changes. To meet the objective of achieving carbon neutrality and keeping global warming in check, many cities, as hotspots of CO2 emissions, have been promoting the use of urban greenery, urban trees in particular, to mitigate carbon emissions from the built environment. However, there remain large uncertainty and divergence of the potential of urban trees for carbon mitigation, with the underlying mechanisms poorly understood. In this study, we conducted a comprehensive survey of the biophysical functions, their environmental controls, and possible heat-carbon-water feedback that mechanistically govern the CO2 exchange processes of trees in the built environment. This review helps to clarify some disparities and enables us to gain clearer insights into the participatory role of urban trees in the dynamics of CO2 exchange. In addition, we proposed a few guidelines for urban planning and management strategies of using trees to promote the sustainability of urban ecosystems.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124028

Our new paper, “CHUWD-H v1.0: a comprehensive historical hourly weather database for U.S. urban energy system modeling“, is published in Scientific Data (IF: 5.8).

The paper can be downloaded at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-024-04238-4.

Authors: Chenghao Wang, Chengbin Deng, Henry Horsey, Janet L. Reyna, Di Liu, Sarah Feron, Raúl R. Cordero, Jiyun Song, & Robert B. Jackson

Abstract: Reliable and continuous meteorological data are crucial for modeling the responses of energy systems and their components to weather and climate conditions, particularly in densely populated urban areas. However, existing long-term datasets often suffer from spatial and temporal gaps and inconsistencies, posing great challenges for detailed urban energy system modeling and cross-city comparison under realistic weather conditions. Here we introduce the Historical Comprehensive Hourly Urban Weather Database (CHUWD-H) v1.0, a 23-year (1998–2020) gap-free and quality-controlled hourly weather dataset covering 550 weather station locations across all urban areas in the contiguous United States. CHUWD-H v1.0 synthesizes hourly weather observations from stations with outputs from a physics-based solar radiation model and a reanalysis dataset through a multi-step gap filling approach. A 10-fold Monte Carlo cross-validation suggests that the accuracy of this gap filling approach surpasses that of conventional gap filling methods. Designed primarily for urban energy system modeling, CHUWD-H v1.0 should also support historical urban meteorological and climate studies, including the validation and evaluation of urban climate modeling.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-04238-4

Database DOI: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/5DP8E

Interactive Data Platform: https://arcg.is/COWWe

Our new paper, “Cooling efficacy of trees across cities is determined by background climate, urban morphology, and tree trait“, is published in Communications Earth & Environment (IF: 8.1).

The paper can be downloaded at https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01908-4.

Authors: Haiwei Li, Yongling Zhao, Chenghao Wang, Diana Ürge-Vorsatz, Jan Carmeliet, & Ronita Bardhan

Abstract: Urban planners and other stakeholders often view trees as the ultimate panacea for mitigating urban heat stress; however, their cooling efficacy varies globally and is influenced by three primary factors: tree traits, urban morphology, and climate conditions. This study analyzes 182 studies on the cooling effects of urban trees across 17 climates in 110 global cities or regions. Tree implementation reduces peak monthly temperatures to below 26 °C in 83% of the cities. Trees can lower pedestrian-level temperatures by up to 12 °C through large radiation blockage and transpiration. In tropical, temperate, and continental climates, a mixed-use of deciduous and evergreen trees in open urban morphology provides approximately 0.5 °C more cooling than a single species approach. In arid climates, evergreen species predominate and demonstrate more effective cooling within compact urban morphology. Our study offers context-specific greening guidelines for urban planners to harness tree cooling in the face of global warming.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01908-4

Our new paper, “Rapid decline in extratropical Andean snow cover driven by the poleward migration of the Southern Hemisphere westerlies“, is published in Scientific Reports (IF: 3.8).

The paper can be downloaded at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-78014-0.

Authors: Raúl R. Cordero, Sarah Feron, Alessandro Damiani, Shelley MacDonell, Jorge Carrasco, Jaime Pizarro, Cyrus Karas, Jose Jorquera, Edgardo Sepulveda, Fernanda Cabello, Francisco Fernandoy, Chenghao Wang, Alia L. Khan, & Gino Casassa

Abstract: Seasonal snow in the extratropical Andes is a primary water source for major rivers supplying water for drinking, agriculture, and hydroelectric power in Central Chile. Here, we used estimates from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to analyze changes in snow cover extent over the period 2001–2022 in a total of 18 watersheds spanning approximately 1,100 km across the Chilean Andes (27–36°S). We found that the annual snow cover extent is receding in the watersheds analyzed at an average pace of approximately 19% per decade. These alarming trends have impacted meltwater runoff, resulting in historically low river streamflows during the dry season. We examined streamflow records dating back to the early 1980s for 10 major rivers within our study area. Further comparisons with large-scale climate modes suggest that the detected decreasing trends in snow cover extent are likely driven by the poleward migration of the westerly winds associated with a positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-78014-0

Our new paper, “The water balance representation in Urban-PLUMBER land surface models“, is published in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (IF: 4.4).

The paper can be downloaded at https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2024MS004231.

Authors: H. J. Jongen, M. Lipson, A. J. Teuling, S. Grimmond, J.-J. Baik, M. Best, M. Demuzere, K. Fortuniak, Y. Huang, M. G. De Kauwe, R. Li, J. McNorton, N. Meili, K. Oleson, S.-B. Park, T. Sun, A. Tsiringakis, M. Varentsov, C. Wang, Z.-H. Wang, G. J. Steeneveld

Abstract: Urban Land Surface Models (ULSMs) simulate energy and water exchanges between the urban surface and atmosphere. However, earlier systematic ULSM comparison projects assessed the energy balance but ignored the water balance, which is coupled to the energy balance. Here, we analyze the water balance representation in 19 ULSMs participating in the Urban-PLUMBER project using results for 20 sites spread across a range of climates and urban form characteristics. As observations for most water fluxes are unavailable, we examine the water balance closure, flux timing, and magnitude with a score derived from seven indicators expecting better scoring models to capture the latent heat flux more accurately. We find that the water budget is only closed in 57% of the model-site combinations assuming closure when annual total incoming fluxes (precipitation and irrigation) are within 3% of the outgoing (all other) fluxes. Results show the timing is better captured than magnitude. No ULSM has passed all water balance indicators for any site. Models passing more indicators do not capture the latent heat flux more accurately refuting our hypothesis. While output reporting inconsistencies may have negatively affected model performance, our results indicate models could be improved by explicitly verifying water balance closure and revising runoff parameterizations. By expanding ULSM evaluation to the water balance and related to latent heat flux performance, we demonstrate the benefits of evaluating processes with direct feedback mechanisms to the processes of interest.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004231

Our new paper, “South America is becoming warmer, drier, and more flammable“, is published in Communications Earth & Environment (IF: 8.1).

The paper can be downloaded at https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01654-7.

Authors: Sarah Feron, Raúl R. Cordero, Alessandro Damiani, Shelley MacDonell, Jaime Pizarro, Katerina Goubanova, Raúl Valenzuela, Chenghao Wang, Lena Rester, Anne Beaulieu

Abstract: South America is experiencing severe impacts from climate change. Although the warming of the subcontinent closely follows the global path, the rise of temperatures has been more pronounced in some regions, which have also seen a parallel increment in the occurrence of droughts and weather conditions associated with enhanced fire risk. Here, we use reanalysis datasets to analyze the progression of the concurring warm, dry, and high fire risk conditions (i.e., dry compounds) since 1971. We show that the frequency of these compound extremes has surged in key South American regions including the northern Amazon, which have seen a 3-fold increase in the number of days per year with extreme fire weather conditions (including high temperatures, dryness, and low humidity). Our results also suggest that the surface temperature of the tropical Pacific Ocean modulates the interannual variability of dry compounds in South America. While El Niño enhances the fire risk in the northern Amazon, dry extremes in the Gran Chaco region appear to be more responsive to La Niña.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01654-7

Our new paper, “Unraveling the discrepancies between Eulerian and Lagrangian moisture tracking models in monsoon- and westerly-dominated basins of the Tibetan Plateau“, is published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (IF: 5.2).

The paper can be downloaded at https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/24/10741/2024/.

Authors: Ying Li, Chenghao Wang, Qiuhong Tang, Shibo Yao, Bo Sun, Hui Peng, Shangbin Xiao

Abstract: Eulerian and Lagrangian numerical moisture tracking models, which are primarily used to quantify moisture contributions from global sources to specific regions, play a crucial role in hydrology and (paleo)climatology studies on the Tibetan Plateau (TP). Despite their widespread applications in the TP region, potential discrepancies in their moisture tracking results and their underlying causes remain unexplored. In this study, we compare the most widely used Eulerian and Lagrangian moisture tracking models over the TP, i.e., WAM2layers (the Water Accounting Model – 2 layers) and FLEXPART-WaterSip (the FLEXible PARTicle dispersion model coupled with the “WaterSip” moisture source diagnostic method), specifically focusing on a basin governed by the Indian summer monsoon (Yarlung Zangbo River basin, YB) and a westerly-dominated basin (upper Tarim River basin, UTB). Compared to the bias-corrected FLEXPART-WaterSip, WAM2layers generally estimates higher moisture contributions from westerly-dominated and distant sources but lower contributions from local recycling and nearby sources downwind of the westerlies. These differences become smaller with higher spatial and temporal resolutions of forcing data in WAM2layers. A notable advantage of WAM2layers over FLEXPART-WaterSip is its closer alignment of estimated moisture sources with actual evaporation, particularly in source regions with complex land–sea distributions. However, the evaporation biases in FLEXPART-WaterSip can be partly corrected through calibration with actual surface fluxes. For moisture tracking over the TP, we recommend using high-resolution forcing datasets, prioritizing temporal resolution over spatial resolution for WAM2layers, while for FLEXPART-WaterSip, we suggest applying bias corrections to optimize the filtering of precipitation particles and adjust evaporation estimates.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-10741-2024

Our new paper, “Improving estimation of diurnal land surface temperatures by integrating weather modeling with satellite observations“, is published in Remote Sensing of Environment (IF: 11.1).

The paper can be downloaded at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S003442572400419X.

Authors: Wei Chen, Yuyu Zhou, Ulrike Passe, Tao Zhang, Chenghao Wang, Ghassem R. Asrar, Qi Li, Huidong Li

Abstract: Land surface temperature (LST) derived from satellite observations and weather modeling has been widely used for investigating Earth surface-atmosphere energy exchange and radiation budget. However, satellite-derived LST has a trade-off between spatial and temporal resolutions and missing observations caused by clouds, while there are limitations such as potential bias and expensive computation in model calibration and simulation for weather modeling. To mitigate those limitations, we proposed a WRFM framework to estimate LST at a spatial resolution of 1 km and temporal resolution of an hour by integrating the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and MODIS satellite data using the morphing technique. We tested the framework in eight counties, Iowa, USA, including urban and rural areas, to generate hourly LSTs from June 1st to August 31st, 2019, at a 1 km resolution. Upon evaluation with in-situ LST measurements, our WRFM framework has demonstrated its ability to capture hourly LSTs under both clear and cloudy conditions, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.63 K and 3.75 K, respectively. Additionally, the assessment with satellite LST observations has shown that the WRFM framework can effectively reduce the bias magnitude in LST from the WRF simulation, resulting in a reduction of the average RMSE over the study area from 4.34 K (daytime) and 4.12 K (nighttime) to 2.89 K (daytime) and 2.75 K (nighttime), respectively, while still capturing the hourly patterns of LST. Overall, the WRFM is effective in integrating the complementary advantages of satellite observations and weather modeling and can generate LSTs with high spatiotemporal resolutions in areas with complex landscapes (e.g., urban).

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2024.114393

Our new paper, “Methane dynamics
altered by reservoir operations in a typical tributary of the Three Gorges Reservoir“, is published in Water Research (IF: 11.4).

The paper and its supplement can be downloaded at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0043135424010625.

Authors: Jia Liu, Fei Xue, Xiaojuan Guo, Zhengjian Yang, Manchun Kang, Min Chen, Daobin Ji, Defu Liu, Shangbin Xiao, and Chenghao Wang

Abstract: Substantial nutrient inputs from reservoir impoundment typically increase sedimentation rate and primary production. This can greatly enhance methane (CH₄) production, making reservoirs potentially significant sources of atmospheric CH₄. Consequently, elucidating CH₄ emissions from reservoirs is crucial for assessing their role in the global methane budget. Reservoir operations can also influence hydrodynamic and biogeochemical processes, potentially leading to pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity, especially in reservoirs with complex tributaries, such as the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR). Although several studies have investigated the spatial and temporal variations in CH₄ emissions in the TGR and its tributaries, considerable uncertainties remain regarding the impact of reservoir operations on CH₄ dynamics. These uncertainties primarily arise from the limited spatial and temporal resolutions of previous measurements and the complex underlying mechanisms of CH₄ dynamics in reservoirs. In this study, we employed a fast-response automated gas equilibrator to measure the spatial distribution and seasonal variations of dissolved CH₄ concentrations in XXB, a representative area significantly impacted by TGR operations and known for severe algal blooms. Additionally, we measured CH₄ production rates in sediments and diffusive CH₄ flux in the surface water. Our multiple campaigns suggest substantial spatial and temporal variability in CH₄ concentrations across XXB. Specifically, dissolved CH₄ concentrations were generally higher upstream than downstream and exhibited a vertical stratification, with greater concentrations in bottom water compared to surface water. The peak dissolved CH₄ concentration was observed in May during the drained period. Our results suggest that the interplay between aquatic organic matter, which promotes CH₄ production, and the dilution process caused by intrusion flows from the mainstream primarily drives this spatiotemporal variability. Importantly, our study indicates the feasibility of using strategic reservoir operations to regulate these factors and mitigate CH₄ emissions. This eco-environmental approach could also be a pivotal management strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from other reservoirs.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2024.122163